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Qual 722016 Lone Star Regional
Red79
541628.7
592321.1
433615.5
Blue102
458743.2
374324.5
44113.6
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6277204010012014079102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5416
#23
28.71.3
26.4→27.7
Auto4.8
Teleop19.5
End4.4
blue by 14.5
4587
#5
43.21.6
39.2→40.9
Auto10.4
Teleop29.3
End3.6
Second
5923
#44
21.11.3
21.3→22.6
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
blue by 3.5
3743
#10
24.52.7
21.1→23.8
Auto7.4
Teleop13.6
End3.5
Third
4336
#58
15.51.3
14.7→16.0
Auto2.9
Teleop10.1
End2.5
red by 1.9
441
#53
13.62.7
12.0→14.8
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned43%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsMissed