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Red80
464117.9
261319.3
333525.2
Blue83
619624.8
415520.4
288129.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions596902040801001201408083

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#15
25.20.4
22.823.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 3.8
2881
#40
29.01.1
27.728.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.8
End9.6
Second
2613
#13
19.30.4
18.218.6
Auto4.9
Teleop11.3
End3.1
blue by 5.5
6196
#27
24.81.9
19.421.3
Auto7.6
Teleop10.7
End6.5
Third
4641
#47
17.90.4
17.818.2
Auto3.1
Teleop12.9
End1.9
blue by 2.5
4155
#42
20.41.9
18.720.7
Auto5.3
Teleop12.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
25%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed