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Red91
550317.1
334517.0
288226.2
Blue87
399723.3
383413.1
354520.5
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions52553040607080909187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2882
#12
26.21.7
24.626.3
Auto5.9
Teleop15.8
End4.5
red by 3.0
3997
#63
23.31.0
20.921.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.5
End3.2
Second
5503
#49
17.11.7
13.915.5
Auto5.9
Teleop5.8
End5.4
blue by 3.4
3545
#36
20.51.0
19.820.7
Auto5.8
Teleop11.3
End3.3
Third
3345
#41
17.01.7
12.414.1
Auto6.1
Teleop8.9
End2.0
red by 3.9
3834
#65
13.11.0
12.613.5
Auto2.9
Teleop9.4
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
52%Breach oddsEarned26%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed