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Red74
116428.5
45725.4
614421.8
Blue32
182821.9
473419.4
34177.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions654902040801001201407432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1164
#20
28.51.5
23.425.0
Auto6.2
Teleop17.0
End5.2
red by 6.6
1828
#22
21.91.5
19.618.1
Auto5.6
Teleop13.8
End2.6
Second
457
#30
25.41.0
21.322.3
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
red by 6.0
4734
#29
19.41.7
18.316.6
Auto7.8
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Third
6144
#18
21.81.5
15.717.2
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End2.3
red by 14.1
3417
#40
7.72.5
11.99.4
Auto2.5
Teleop5.0
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed44%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed