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Red82
561329.5
436425.2
598624.6
Blue62
348139.9
469424.7
47176.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62730501001508262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.51.3
25.426.7
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End4.8
blue by 10.3
3481
#16
39.90.5
38.638.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End3.9
Second
25.21.3
18.820.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 0.4
24.70.5
20.419.9
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
5986
#13
24.61.5
17.719.2
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 17.7
4717
#39
6.90.8
10.19.3
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End-1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed