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Red112
578320.3
331050.9
380234.3
Blue40
485211.2
463526.4
304312.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10647015020011240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.90.2
47.847.9
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
red by 24.5
4635
#28
26.41.0
26.425.5
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
Second
34.30.2
29.829.9
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
red by 21.9
3043
#31
12.41.6
15.714.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Third
5783
#25
20.30.3
16.717.0
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 9.1
4852
#37
11.21.6
12.110.6
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach oddsEarned49%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed