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Red40
181714.5
52129.0
473419.4
Blue80
557228.9
430025.2
47999.8
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505230406070804080

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4734
#29
19.40.6
16.616.0
Auto7.8
Teleop7.0
End4.6
blue by 9.5
5572
#23
28.92.4
23.325.7
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Second
1817
#36
14.50.6
13.613.0
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End0.7
blue by 10.6
4300
#19
25.22.0
17.919.9
Auto6.5
Teleop15.1
End3.6
Third
5212
#27
9.01.0
18.517.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.4
blue by 0.8
4799
#38
9.83.3
9.012.3
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
33%Breach oddsMissed32%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed