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Red99
348139.9
463526.4
436425.2
Blue95
588816.5
406340.9
557228.9
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions868340601001201409995

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#16
39.91.0
35.936.9
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End3.9
blue by 1.1
40.90.9
39.240.1
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
Second
4635
#28
26.41.0
25.526.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
blue by 2.5
5572
#23
28.90.9
25.626.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Third
25.21.0
21.922.9
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 8.7
5888
#32
16.51.6
16.217.7
Auto0.7
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach oddsEarned83%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed