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Red22
531218.3
304312.4
577114.4
Blue135
181714.5
469424.7
331050.9
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3794020608012014016022135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5312
#11
18.31.5
20.719.2
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.6
blue by 32.5
50.92.8
51.053.8
Auto15.1
Teleop29.0
End6.7
Second
5771
#15
14.41.5
15.714.2
Auto6.1
Teleop6.4
End1.9
blue by 10.3
24.72.8
21.023.8
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
3043
#31
12.42.5
8.05.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.4
blue by 2.1
1817
#36
14.52.8
10.913.7
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
24%Breach oddsMissed79%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned