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Red51
457014.8
578320.3
463526.4
Blue47
588816.5
614421.8
181714.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions515802040801001205147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4635
#28
26.40.0
26.626.6
Auto8.9
Teleop13.2
End4.2
red by 4.6
6144
#18
21.81.4
23.622.3
Auto8.1
Teleop11.4
End2.3
Second
5783
#25
20.30.0
15.115.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 3.8
5888
#32
16.51.4
17.716.4
Auto0.7
Teleop11.8
End4.0
Third
4570
#34
14.80.0
8.98.9
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.9
red by 0.3
1817
#36
14.50.9
13.712.8
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
38%Breach oddsMissed24%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed