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Red71
198733.8
215832.3
47999.8
Blue104
348139.9
598624.6
304312.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions827205010015071104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#12
33.80.5
34.934.4
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End5.0
blue by 6.1
3481
#16
39.91.9
38.440.2
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End3.9
Second
2158
#10
32.30.5
32.632.1
Auto8.3
Teleop19.2
End4.8
red by 7.7
5986
#13
24.61.9
22.624.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Third
4799
#38
9.80.6
10.49.8
Auto2.2
Teleop7.1
End0.5
blue by 2.6
3043
#31
12.42.3
10.212.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed