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Red66
452235.5
543735.5
47176.9
Blue104
469424.7
336628.0
495933.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions798620406010012014016066104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.51.1
35.134.0
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End3.8
red by 2.5
33.00.7
32.132.9
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End5.0
Second
4522
#26
35.51.1
35.434.3
Auto6.6
Teleop24.6
End4.3
red by 7.5
3366
#17
28.00.7
27.828.5
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
4717
#39
6.91.6
7.35.7
Auto2.3
Teleop5.5
End-1.0
blue by 17.9
24.70.7
22.923.6
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach oddsMissed74%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned