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Red81
182821.9
181714.5
41831.2
Blue82
473419.4
469424.7
186034.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6377020401001201401608182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
418
#14
31.21.2
29.330.5
Auto5.9
Teleop20.4
End5.0
blue by 2.8
34.00.6
31.932.6
Auto13.5
Teleop18.2
End2.3
Second
1828
#22
21.91.2
20.521.7
Auto5.6
Teleop13.8
End2.6
blue by 2.8
24.70.6
23.624.3
Auto7.6
Teleop13.4
End3.7
Third
1817
#36
14.51.2
13.314.4
Auto2.2
Teleop11.7
End0.7
blue by 4.9
4734
#29
19.40.6
17.017.7
Auto7.8
Teleop7.0
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
58%Breach oddsEarned65%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed