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Red88
578320.3
429820.6
45725.4
Blue68
430113.2
586618.5
561329.5
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585902040801001208868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#30
25.41.8
23.825.6
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
blue by 4.2
29.50.7
27.328.1
Auto10.2
Teleop14.6
End4.8
Second
4298
#21
20.61.8
17.419.2
Auto3.9
Teleop14.8
End1.9
red by 2.1
5866
#33
18.51.0
15.616.6
Auto4.3
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Third
5783
#25
20.32.4
15.117.5
Auto5.5
Teleop13.0
End1.8
red by 7.1
4301
#35
13.21.0
14.015.0
Auto2.7
Teleop9.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsEarned63%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed