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Red76
543735.5
485211.2
380234.3
Blue93
406340.9
457014.8
304312.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions885402040801001201401607693

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.50.3
34.033.7
Auto11.5
Teleop20.2
End3.8
blue by 5.4
40.92.0
40.342.4
Auto10.2
Teleop24.1
End6.7
Second
34.30.3
34.934.7
Auto8.0
Teleop20.1
End6.1
red by 19.5
4570
#34
14.82.7
10.313.0
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.9
Third
4852
#37
11.20.4
11.210.8
Auto1.7
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 1.2
3043
#31
12.42.9
6.99.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned52%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed