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Red64
198733.8
52129.0
348139.9
Blue90
495933.0
557228.9
531218.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88820501001502006490

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#16
39.91.4
37.936.5
Auto10.2
Teleop25.7
End3.9
red by 6.8
33.00.6
32.933.5
Auto7.1
Teleop20.9
End5.0
Second
1987
#12
33.81.4
36.234.8
Auto9.5
Teleop19.2
End5.0
red by 4.9
5572
#23
28.90.6
28.929.5
Auto6.6
Teleop13.0
End9.2
Third
5212
#27
9.01.9
11.09.1
Auto2.2
Teleop7.2
End-0.4
blue by 9.3
5312
#11
18.30.6
19.219.8
Auto6.7
Teleop9.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
73%Breach oddsEarned73%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed