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Red147
384733.9
348139.9
582922.8
Blue170
147736.4
45635.4
215835.8
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions114144050100200250300147170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
red by 3.5
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Second
3847
Unranked
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
blue by 1.8
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Third
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 12.6
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7