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Red201
129636.5
300539.8
598624.6
Blue200
458748.6
62435.0
505220.9
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions129129100120140160180200201200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 8.8
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 1.5
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
5986
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
red by 3.7
5052
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7