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Red214
129636.5
300539.8
433518.2
Blue93
23133.7
171033.4
333525.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11911705010015020025030035021493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 6.1
231
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Second
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 3.1
1710
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 7.0
3335
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3