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Red62
463926.9
258731.7
458748.6
Blue114
590816.1
543134.3
11864.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10911905015020025062114

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
blue by 15.4
118
Unranked
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
Second
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 2.5
5431
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
4639
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 10.9
5908
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
93%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
8%Capture odds18%Capture odds