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Red130
542724.5
14866.9
171033.4
Blue105
288133.4
62435.0
147736.4
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions133104050150200250130105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
red by 30.5
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Second
1710
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
blue by 1.7
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
5427
Unranked
24.50.0
24.524.5
Auto7.1
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 9.0
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
98%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
40%Capture odds14%Capture odds