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Red64
589214.2
505220.9
526120.6
Blue87
295015.9
44113.6
45725.4
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575740506070806487

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5052
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 4.4
457
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
Second
5261
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
red by 4.8
2950
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
Third
5892
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
red by 0.6
441
Unranked
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
20%Breach odds17%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds