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Red80
295015.9
258731.7
5732.2
Blue117
310325.5
399932.5
14866.9
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions721385010015020080117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
57
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
blue by 34.7
148
Unranked
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
Second
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 0.8
3999
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
Third
2950
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
blue by 9.7
3103
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
83%Breach odds98%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds24%Capture odds