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Red74
215835.8
399932.5
295015.9
Blue122
348139.9
463926.9
543134.3
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions831085015020074122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
blue by 4.1
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Second
3999
Unranked
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
blue by 1.7
5431
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Third
2950
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
blue by 11.1
4639
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds83%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds3%Capture odds