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Red117
582922.8
373524.3
458748.6
Blue62
384733.9
336628.0
5732.2
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99975015020011762

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
red by 14.7
3847
Unranked
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Second
3735
Unranked
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
blue by 7.9
57
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto9.0
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Third
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 5.2
3366
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
90%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds8%Capture odds