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Red128
258220.6
11864.1
399132.2
Blue132
14866.9
333525.2
433518.2
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12211250100150200128132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
Unranked
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
blue by 2.8
148
Unranked
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
Second
3991
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
red by 7.0
3335
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
Third
2582
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
red by 2.5
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
34%Capture odds14%Capture odds