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Red77
45725.4
258731.7
288133.4
Blue95
541424.8
62435.0
215835.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921000501502002507795

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
blue by 2.3
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 3.3
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
457
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
red by 0.5
5414
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds26%Capture odds