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Red107
258521.8
348139.9
310325.5
Blue61
147736.4
171033.4
505220.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions899405015020010761

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
red by 3.5
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Second
3103
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
blue by 7.9
1710
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
Third
2585
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
red by 0.8
5052
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds90%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds10%Capture odds