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Red60
147736.4
582922.8
333525.2
Blue99
543134.3
258731.7
598624.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86950501502006099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1477
Unranked
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
red by 2.1
5431
Unranked
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Second
3335
Unranked
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 6.5
2587
Unranked
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Third
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 1.8
5986
Unranked
24.60.0
24.624.6
Auto7.0
Teleop14.0
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds