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Red47
288133.4
463926.9
590816.1
Blue98
45635.4
310325.5
258220.6
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78850501001502002504798

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2881
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
blue by 2.0
456
Unranked
35.40.0
35.435.4
Auto11.7
Teleop17.0
End6.7
Second
4639
Unranked
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 1.4
3103
Unranked
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
Third
5908
Unranked
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
blue by 4.5
2582
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto7.8
Teleop9.9
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
39%Breach odds81%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds