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Red102
45725.4
505220.9
300539.8
Blue90
14866.9
129636.5
458748.6
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7417105010015020025030010290

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 27.0
148
Unranked
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
Second
457
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
blue by 23.3
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Third
5052
Unranked
20.90.0
20.920.9
Auto5.2
Teleop12.0
End3.7
blue by 15.6
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds71%Capture odds