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Red114
399132.2
348139.9
295015.9
Blue102
44113.6
23133.7
336628.0
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9375050150200250300114102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
red by 6.2
231
Unranked
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
Second
3991
Unranked
32.20.0
32.232.2
Auto6.9
Teleop19.9
End5.4
red by 4.1
3366
Unranked
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
2950
Unranked
15.90.0
15.915.9
Auto2.5
Teleop10.9
End2.5
red by 2.2
441
Unranked
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
84%Breach odds47%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds1%Capture odds