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Red61
258521.8
589214.2
171033.4
Blue85
373524.3
215835.8
526120.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698501502002503003504006185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
Unranked
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto8.4
Teleop20.9
End4.1
blue by 2.4
2158
Unranked
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
2585
Unranked
21.80.0
21.821.8
Auto7.5
Teleop11.1
End3.1
blue by 2.5
3735
Unranked
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Third
5892
Unranked
14.20.0
14.214.2
Auto3.4
Teleop9.5
End1.3
blue by 6.4
5261
Unranked
20.60.0
20.620.6
Auto3.7
Teleop12.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach odds66%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds5%Capture odds