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Red155
14866.9
11864.1
541424.8
Blue170
384733.9
348139.9
582922.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218101050150200250300350155170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
Unranked
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
red by 27.0
3481
Unranked
39.90.0
39.939.9
Auto7.3
Teleop28.7
End3.9
Second
118
Unranked
64.10.0
64.164.1
Auto17.8
Teleop37.1
End9.2
red by 30.1
3847
Unranked
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
5414
Unranked
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
red by 2.0
5829
Unranked
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6