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Red186
129636.5
300539.8
433518.2
Blue115
458748.6
62435.0
45725.4
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions128128100110120140150160170180186115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
Unranked
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
blue by 8.8
4587
Unranked
48.60.0
48.648.6
Auto11.1
Teleop33.0
End4.6
Second
1296
Unranked
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 1.5
624
Unranked
35.00.0
35.035.0
Auto11.6
Teleop19.2
End4.3
Third
4335
Unranked
18.20.0
18.218.2
Auto6.6
Teleop10.3
End1.2
blue by 7.2
457
Unranked
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3