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Red92
62437.5
258731.7
384733.9
Blue102
215835.8
463926.9
592321.1
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1108205015020025092102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
#22
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto8.6
Teleop26.1
End2.8
red by 1.8
2158
#18
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 7.0
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Third
2587
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
red by 10.6
5923
#12
21.10.0
21.121.1
Auto5.1
Teleop13.0
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
94%Breach odds73%Breach odds
Capture
9%Capture odds15%Capture odds