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Red94
420615.7
23133.7
624B18.8
Blue112
458753.6
310325.5
147736.4
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60129010015020025094112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#14
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto10.3
Teleop18.7
End4.7
blue by 19.9
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
624B
#10
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.4
blue by 17.6
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Third
4206
#24
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
blue by 9.8
3103
#15
25.50.0
25.525.5
Auto6.7
Teleop13.8
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
78%Breach odds96%Breach odds
Capture
6%Capture odds19%Capture odds