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Red111
463926.9
637715.6
384733.9
Blue30
420615.7
999915.6
590816.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8543010015020025011130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
red by 17.9
5908
#26
16.10.0
16.116.1
Auto2.2
Teleop11.9
End2.0
Second
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
red by 11.2
4206
#24
15.70.0
15.715.7
Auto5.1
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Third
6377
#21
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Level
9999
#25
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach odds35%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds0%Capture odds