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Red74
333525.2
429520.0
624B18.8
Blue40
258731.7
44113.6
125519.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67664050607080907440

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3335
#23
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto7.8
Teleop14.1
End3.3
blue by 6.5
2587
#27
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
Second
4295
#13
20.00.0
20.020.0
Auto7.9
Teleop9.6
End2.4
Level
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto4.3
Teleop11.6
End4.1
Third
624B
#10
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.3
Teleop13.1
End1.4
red by 5.1
441
#20
13.60.0
13.613.6
Auto6.6
Teleop7.1
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach odds44%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds0%Capture odds