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Red170
14866.9
11868.0
524224.8
Blue167
373524.3
284832.0
543134.3
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22593050150200250300350170167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
68.00.0
68.068.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 33.7
5431
#30
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
Second
148
#2
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
red by 34.9
2848
#14
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
Third
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 0.5
3735
#25
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8