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Red114
300539.8
246837.1
557227.6
Blue103
215835.8
288133.4
541424.8
75%Model gave it25%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13611050100150200114103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3005
#16
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
red by 4.1
2158
#13
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
Second
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
red by 3.6
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Third
5572
#29
27.60.0
27.627.6
Auto2.7
Teleop15.5
End9.4
red by 2.8
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2