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Red190
129636.5
458753.6
582922.8
Blue132
399932.5
147736.4
384733.9
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1401266080100160180200220190132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
red by 17.2
1477
#10
36.40.0
36.436.4
Auto11.3
Teleop20.0
End5.1
Second
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
red by 2.6
3847
#17
33.90.0
33.933.9
Auto9.2
Teleop19.8
End5.0
Third
5829
#28
22.80.0
22.822.8
Auto9.0
Teleop11.3
End2.6
blue by 9.7
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1