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Red150
399932.5
11868.0
524224.8
Blue90
541424.8
461018.8
463926.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions141615010015020015090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
68.00.0
68.068.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
red by 41.0
4639
#32
26.90.0
26.926.9
Auto7.8
Teleop16.7
End2.5
Second
3999
#11
32.50.0
32.532.5
Auto8.1
Teleop20.3
End4.1
red by 7.7
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Third
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
red by 6.0
4610
#35
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
95%Breach odds71%Breach odds
Capture
25%Capture odds1%Capture odds