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Red97
436425.2
617128.9
284832.0
Blue117
373524.3
41820.8
458753.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8610405015020097117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#14
32.00.0
32.032.0
Auto7.3
Teleop21.0
End3.7
blue by 21.6
53.60.0
53.653.6
Auto13.5
Teleop35.7
End4.3
Second
6171
#27
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
red by 4.7
3735
#25
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto5.2
Teleop12.3
End6.8
Third
4364
#31
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
red by 4.4
418
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
86%Breach odds86%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds9%Capture odds