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Red64
45725.4
577521.2
572623.5
Blue175
246837.1
129636.5
331044.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6213205010015020064175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
457
#22
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
blue by 18.9
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto14.6
Teleop23.1
End6.5
Second
5726
#40
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 13.6
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Third
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 15.3
36.50.0
36.536.5
Auto11.3
Teleop21.4
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
47%Breach odds99%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds11%Capture odds