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Red91
461018.8
436425.2
258731.7
Blue126
617128.9
45725.4
300539.8
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741015015091126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2587
#33
31.70.0
31.731.7
Auto9.9
Teleop15.3
End6.5
blue by 8.1
3005
#16
39.80.0
39.839.8
Auto11.4
Teleop21.9
End6.5
Second
4364
#31
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
blue by 3.8
6171
#27
28.90.0
28.928.9
Auto10.6
Teleop13.2
End5.1
Third
4610
#35
18.80.0
18.818.8
Auto4.7
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 6.5
457
#22
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach odds85%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds5%Capture odds