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Red98
613319.5
524224.8
215835.8
Blue102
419223.3
11868.0
336628.0
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions741315010015020098102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2158
#13
35.80.0
35.835.8
Auto10.2
Teleop19.0
End6.6
blue by 32.2
118
#1
68.00.0
68.068.0
Auto19.3
Teleop38.5
End10.2
Second
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
blue by 3.3
3366
#20
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 3.8
4192
#34
23.30.0
23.323.3
Auto7.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
69%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
5%Capture odds14%Capture odds