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Red76
577521.2
541424.8
613319.5
Blue107
436425.2
524224.8
288133.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6490020408010012014016076107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
blue by 8.6
33.40.0
33.433.4
Auto9.1
Teleop14.2
End10.2
Second
5775
#23
21.20.0
21.221.2
Auto8.5
Teleop8.7
End4.1
blue by 4.0
4364
#31
25.20.0
25.225.2
Auto9.8
Teleop11.4
End4.1
Third
6133
#18
19.50.0
19.519.5
Auto6.7
Teleop9.7
End3.1
blue by 5.3
5242
#26
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto8.8
Teleop10.9
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
59%Breach odds49%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds0%Capture odds