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Red88
348141.2
41820.8
543134.3
Blue110
246837.1
45725.4
336628.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100925015088110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3481
#12
41.20.0
41.241.2
Auto7.8
Teleop28.2
End5.3
red by 4.1
37.10.0
37.137.1
Auto10.7
Teleop23.8
End2.6
Second
5431
#30
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
red by 6.2
3366
#20
28.00.0
28.028.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.8
End5.5
Third
418
#24
20.80.0
20.820.8
Auto4.3
Teleop12.4
End4.1
blue by 4.6
457
#22
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
81%Breach odds76%Breach odds
Capture
2%Capture odds2%Capture odds