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Red94
572623.5
543134.3
335521.6
Blue121
14866.9
45725.4
541424.8
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions731295010015020094121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5431
#30
34.30.0
34.334.3
Auto7.3
Teleop23.0
End3.9
blue by 32.6
148
#2
66.90.0
66.966.9
Auto14.3
Teleop39.9
End12.6
Second
5726
#40
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto7.0
Teleop14.1
End2.4
blue by 1.8
457
#22
25.40.0
25.425.4
Auto5.3
Teleop15.8
End4.3
Third
3355
#39
21.60.0
21.621.6
Auto7.6
Teleop10.2
End3.7
blue by 3.3
5414
#21
24.80.0
24.824.8
Auto6.7
Teleop14.0
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
71%Breach odds89%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds8%Capture odds